The SEC Investigation Wasn't Hyzon's Only Bad News Today
Hyzon Motors (NASDAQ:HYZN), a maker of heavy trucks powered
by hydrogen fuel cells, disclosed in a regulatory filing on Jan. 12 that it has
received a subpoena from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for
information related to a short-seller's allegations.
Hyzon also said that while its 2021 deliveries slightly
exceeded its forecast, its full-year revenue and margins will come in
"materially lower" than its previous guidance.
Shares were down sharply in early trading after the news was
released.
About that SEC subpoena
Hyzon didn't say much about the subpoena. In a terse 8-K
filing, it said that it has received a subpoena from the SEC for
"documents and information, including related to the allegations made in
the report issued by Blue Orca Capital."
That report from Blue Orca, issued on Sept. 28, 2021, made
some heavy allegations. Among them: that Hyzon's financial projections are
inflated and unrealistic, and that at least one of the large orders announced
by Hyzon last year came from what appears to be a shell company.
Of course, short-sellers make accusations all the time. But
the electric vehicle segment has a rough history with short-seller reports that
turned out to contain some truths, as any Nikola or Lordstown Motors
shareholder can tell you.
Given the history around those companies, I think that EV
investors are right to be concerned about the news that the SEC is
investigating Blue Orca's allegations.
Hyzon also warned on its 2021 results
There's an old public-relations adage: If you have more than
one bit of bad news to announce, announce it all at once.
Presumably heeding that advice, Hyzon also gave investors a
preview of its 2021 results. The good news is that Hyzon delivered 87 fuel cell
powered heavy-duty vehicles in 2021. Those were all sales, not leases, it said.
(Commercial fleet operators sometimes rent a vehicle for a few months of
testing; those deals are called "trial leases." Hyzon had eight
trucks deployed under trial leases in 2021 in addition to the 87 total.)
Hyzon had said last February that it expected to deliver 85
vehicles in 2021, so 87 deliveries is a small beat.
But the deeper news wasn't good. The company said that
because of "lower average selling price per vehicle due to product mix and
multi-year revenue recognition for the majority of sales," its 2021
revenue and margins will be worse than it had expected.
In other words, Hyzon's 2021 financial results will fall
short of its guidance, despite the deliveries beat.
What it all means for Hyzon investors
My take is that the financial "miss" doesn't
really mean much. Supply chain challenges and other COVID-19 effects made 2021
a difficult year for any company manufacturing vehicles. Hyzon is a young
company and things didn't go as expected. If it continues to execute on its
plan in 2022, this "miss" will be forgotten.
The SEC investigation also doesn't mean much right now,
though as I said above, investors are right to be concerned. Given the history
around companies like Nikola and Lordstown, it shouldn't be surprising that the
SEC is taking closer looks at other companies that have been the targets of
short-seller reports.
If you've done your due diligence and you're satisfied you
understand the risks and potential rewards of holding Hyzon's stock, I don't
see a big need to sell right now on this news. But do keep an eye on that SEC
investigation.
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