Why quality and value could drive the Rio Tinto share price higher
Quality and value are two important drivers of stock market
returns - yet many investors fail to take them seriously. At a time of economic
uncertainty, using these two powerful factors to find stocks could help you
navigate market volatility.
The Rio Tinto share price has moved by -16.1% over the past
three months and it’s currently trading at 4,540p. But what's interesting about
this share is its potential exposure to the influential profit drivers of high
quality and a relatively cheap valuation.
This matters because at a time when many investors are on
the lookout for cheap shares, it's important to know the difference between a
genuine bargain and a value trap. The secret is that it's often the quality of
the stock that makes all the difference.
Good quality stocks are loved by the market because they're
more likely to be solid, dependable businesses. Profitability is important, but
so is the firm's financial strength. A track record of improving finances is
essential.
One of the quality metrics for Rio Tinto is that it passes 8
of the 9 financial tests in the Piotroski F-Score. The F-Score is a world-class
accounting-based checklist for finding stocks with an improving financial
health trend. A good F-Score suggests that the company has strong signs of
quality.
Buying at a fair price
While quality is important, no-one wants to overpay for a
stock, so an appealing valuation is vital too. With a weaker economy, earnings
forecasts are unclear right across the market. But there are some valuation
measures that can help, and one of them is the Earnings Yield.
Earnings Yield compares a company's profit with its market
valuation (worked out by dividing its operating profit by its enterprise
value). It gives you a total value of the stock (including its cash and debt),
which makes it easier to compare different stocks. As a percentage, the higher
the Earnings Yield, the better value the share.
A rule of thumb for a reasonable Earnings Yield might be 5%,
and the Earnings Yield for Rio Tinto is currently 28.1%.
In summary, good quality and relatively cheap valuations are
pointers to those stocks that are some of the most appealing to contrarian
value investors. It's among these shares that genuine mis-pricing can be found.
Once the market recognises that these quality firms are on sale, those prices
often rebound.
What does this mean for potential investors?
Finding good quality stocks at cheap prices is a strategy
used by some of the world's most successful investors. But be warned: these
factors don't guarantee future returns and we've identified some areas of
concern with Rio Tinto that you can find out about here.
Alternatively, if you'd like to find more shares that are
showing signs of having strong quality and value, just come and take a look at
this Quality & Value screen.
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